Sensitivity of LSTM-based extreme streamflow predictions to training distribution and input fidelity
Talbot MT, Davenport FV. Sensitivity of LSTM-based extreme streamflow predictions to training distribution and input fidelity. In preparation.
Curriculum Vitae
Education
Ph.D. in Civil & Environmental Engineering Expected 2027
Colorado State UniversityAdvisor: Dr. Frances Davenport
M.S. in Bioproducts & Biosystems Science, Engineering, and Management 2019
University of MinnesotaThesis: Comparison of Evapotranspiration Estimation Methods and Implications for Water Balance Model Parameterization in the Midwestern United States Advisor: Dr. Gary Sands
B.B.A.E. in Biosystems & Agricultural Engineering 2009
University of MinnesotaWork Experience
Graduate Research Assistant 2024 – Present
Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO Water Resources Engineer 2013 – 2023
Emmons & Olivier Resources, Inc., St. Paul, MN Graduate Research Assistant 2010 – 2012
University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN Graduate Research Contractor 2010
United States Geological Survey, Minneapolis, MN Undergraduate Research Assistant 2005 – 2009
University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN Visiting Research Assistant 2009
Czech Technical University (ČVUT), Prague, Czech RepublicCertifications and Training
Certified Floodplain Manager (CFM) Since 2016
Issued By: Association of State Floodplain Managers (ASFPM)Credential ID: US-16-09490
Graduate Student Teaching Certificate Course (GSTCC) In Progress
Issued By: Colorado State UniversityAwards and Honors
Awarded for travel to the AGU25 Annual Meeting in New Orleans, Louisiana.
Awarded for travel to the AGU24 Annual Meeting in Washington, D.C.
Service and Leadership
Publications
Evapotranspiration Estimation in the Upper Midwestern United States: Part II. Assessing Impacts on DRAINMOD Model Predictions
Talbot MT, Sands GR, Coulter JA, Peterson JR. (2026). Evapotranspiration Estimation in the Upper Midwestern United States: Part II. Assessing Impacts on DRAINMOD Model Predictions. Manuscript submitted for publication.
Evapotranspiration Estimation in the Upper Midwestern United States: Part I. Comparing Commonly Used Reference ET Methods
Talbot MT, Sands GR, Coulter JA, Peterson JR. (2026). Evapotranspiration Estimation in the Upper Midwestern United States: Part I. Comparing Commonly Used Reference ET Methods. Manuscript submitted for publication.
Agriculture — A river runs through it — The connections between agriculture and water quality
Capel PD, McCarthy KA, Coupe RH, Grey KM, Amenumey SE, Baker NT, Johnson RL. 2018. Agriculture — A river runs through it — The connections between agriculture and water quality.. Geological Survey Circular Report No. 1433.
Parameterization and Application of Agricultural Best Management Practices in a Rural Ontario Watershed Using PCSWMM
Talbot MT, McGuire O, Olivier C, Fleming R. 2016. Parameterization and Application of Agricultural Best Management Practices in a Rural Ontario Watershed Using PCSWMM. Journal of Water Management Modeling.
Developing optimum subsurface drainage design procedures
Sands GR, Canelon D, Talbot M. 2015. Developing optimum subsurface drainage design procedures. Acta Agriculturae Scandinavica, Section B — Soil & Plant Science. 65(sup1):121–127.
Evaluating and Estimating DRAINMOD’s Effective Rooting Depth for Corn
Talbot MT, Sands G, Coulter J. 2014. Evaluating and Estimating DRAINMOD’s Effective Rooting Depth for Corn. Evapotranspiration: Challenges in Measurement and Modeling from Leaf to the Landscape Scale and Beyond Conference Proceedings, 7-10 April 2014, Raleigh, North Carolina.
The Role of Hydrologic Alteration and Riparian Vegetation Dynamics in Channel Evolution along the Lower Minnesota River
Lenhart CF, Titov ML, Ulrich JS, Nieber JL, Suppes BJ. 2013. The Role of Hydrologic Alteration and Riparian Vegetation Dynamics in Channel Evolution along the Lower Minnesota River. Transactions of the ASABE. 56(2):549.
Talks
No Free Lunch? Improving LSTM Flood Predictions with Minimal Loss in Overall Skill
Poster at AGU25 Annual Meeting , New Orleans, Louisiana — December 15, 2025
Toward Enhancing Neural Networks in Predicting Streamflow Extremes
Talk at 2025 AWRA & CGWA Symposium , Golden, CO — May 02, 2025
Toward Improving Machine Learning Models for Predicting Streamflow Extremes
Talk at 2025 Hydrology Days , Fort Collins, CO — April 09, 2025
Watershed Alchemy: Transforming Data into Hydrologic Understanding
Poster at AGU24 Annual Meeting , Washington, D.C. — December 13, 2024
Evaluation of a GIS-Based Flood Hazard Assessment in Rochester, Minnesota
Poster at 56th Annual ICWMM , Virtual Meeting — March 02, 2023
Improving Remote Collaboration while Lowering Costs: A Case Study in Prioritization and Targeting using Open Source Software
Talk at 2020 MAWD Annual Conference , Virtual Meeting — December 04, 2020
Investigating the impact of ET model choice for DRAINMOD in the upper Midwest
Talk at 2020 Midwest Drainage Research Forum , Virtual Meeting — December 01, 2020
Locating and Evaluating the Costs and Benefits of Urban LID Retrofits
Talk at 2018 World Environmental & Water Resources Congress , Minneapolis, Minnesota — June 03, 2018
Locating and Evaluating the Costs and Benefits of Urban LID Retrofits
Talk at 51st Annual ICWMM , Brampton, Ontario — February 28, 2018
What to do when your lidar is out of date: a modeling perspective
Talk at 51st Annual ICWMM , Brampton, Ontario — February 28, 2018
Modeling the Influences of Riverine Hydrology on Near-Channel Nesting Habitat for State-Listed Turtle Species
Talk at 2016 Minnesota Water Resources Conference , St. Paul, Minnesota — October 18, 2016
Searching for the Goldilocks Water Quality Model
Talk at 89th CSWEA Annual Meeting , Madison, Wisconsin — May 17, 2016
Rural Stormwater Management Model (RSWMM)
Talk at 48th Annual ICWMM , Brampton, Ontario — February 25, 2015
Assessment of Bioretention Device Performance by Use of Water Level Recordings
Talk at 2014 Minnesota Water Resources Conference , St. Paul, Minnesota — October 14, 2014
Professional Affiliations
American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers (ASABE) Member, 2007 - Present
Association of State Floodplain Managers (ASFPM) Certified Floodplain Manager (CFM), 2016 - Present
American Geophysical Union (AGU) Member, 2024 - Present
American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) Member, 2024 - Present
American Water Resources Association (AWRA) Member, 2025 - Present